Ethiopia/ Abiy Ahmed cautions against invasion amid rising regional tensions

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has issued a stern warning to any nation contemplating an invasion, urging them to “think 10 times” before making such a move. Though no specific country was mentioned, the warning comes amid growing tensions with Somalia and Egypt.

The dispute with Somalia stems from Ethiopia’s recent maritime deal with Somaliland, an unrecognized breakaway region of Somalia. Mogadishu views this agreement as an “act of aggression” and has responded by forging closer military ties with Egypt.

Somaliland, which has sought independence for over 30 years, could offer Ethiopia port access and lease part of its coastline to Ethiopia’s navy in exchange for diplomatic recognition.

At the same time, Egypt and Ethiopia remain locked in a long-standing dispute over the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile, which Egypt fears could impact its water supply.

Egypt has reportedly planned to deploy troops to Somalia after signing a military pact with the Somali government, raising concerns about further regional instability.

Abiy Ahmed reaffirmed Ethiopia’s commitment to peace but stressed that the country is fully prepared to defend itself against any external threats. He emphasized Ethiopia’s resilience, stating that the nation is adept at repelling invaders.

Egypt’s increasing military presence in Somalia, combined with its grievances over the GERD, has added to tensions in the region.

Reports indicate that Egypt could deploy as many as 10,000 troops to Somalia, raising concerns about the potential for conflict in the Horn of Africa.